The voting for the final phase of the Bihar Legislative Assembly elections concluded today, after which the ruling NDA and the opposition are making claims of victory. However, exit polls are stamping approval on an NDA coalition government.
SNPNEWS.IN News (Gurmail Kamboj): The voting for the second phase of the Bihar Legislative Assembly elections concluded today, after which various media agencies and polling agencies have released exit poll results based on opinions gathered from 10-20% of voters in several Bihar assembly constituencies.
The authenticity of exit polls cannot be determined at 100%, because the information provided by 10-20k voters from some assembly constituencies cannot be considered the mathematics of the entire state’s legislative assembly elections. However, the results, which will be announced before November 14, appear to create an atmosphere of joy for one side.
Exit Poll Bihar Elections In Confusion Over NDA & Mahagathbandhan Seat Sharing
In the Bihar Legislative Assembly elections, the main contest is between the NDA coalition and the Mahagathbandhan. In addition, Prashant Kishor, AAP, Asaduddin Owaisi, along with numerous small and large parties, fielded their candidates in the electoral fray.
Exit Poll Figures
● Matriculation- IANS
NDA: 147-167 Maha: 70-90 Others: 00
● People Pulse
NDA: 133-159 Maha: 75-101 Others: 2-13
● People’s InsightNDA: 133-148Maha: 87-102Others: 3-8 ● Chanakya
NDA: 130-138 Maha: 100-108 Others: 3-5
● Polstraat
NDA: 133-148 Maha: 87-102 Others: 3-5
● JVC’s Polls NDA: 135-150 Maha: 88-103 Others: 3-6
● Poll Diary
NDA: 184-209 Maha: 32-49 Others: 1-5
● Times Now NDA: 143 Maha: 95 Others: 5
● Dainik Bhaskar
NDA: 145-160 Maha: 73-91 Others: 5-10
● Poll of Polls NDA: 150 Maha: 86 Others: 5
If the figures published by media agencies are carefully examined, then during the contest between the NDA coalition and the Mahagathbandhan, the biggest problem for the Mahagathbandhan will be the disappointing performance of the Congress party, because RJD appears to be winning on its share of seats (89-97), while Congress (which has been on the margins and out of central power for the past 15 years due to internal strife, competition among leaders to undermine each other, and loss of public trust in the Gandhi family) appears to be confined to 14-21 seats.
On the other hand, claims are being made in the NDA coalition for BJP securing 85-93 seats and JDU 25-31 seats. If the vote percentages expected for the NDA coalition and Mahagathbandhan are looked at, then NDA (38.4%) appears to secure fewer votes than Mahagathbandhan (39.2%), but a big difference is visible in the seat count. 10-20% of seats appear to be falling into NDA’s lap, especially BJP’s, by extremely narrow margins, because Prashant Kishor’s JSP (12.7) and Owaisi’s votes appear to be splitting Mahagathbandhan’s votes.
Exit polls are presenting RJD as the largest party in the Bihar elections, followed by BJP (85-93) and JDU (Nitish Kumar) (25-31), and Congress (14-21) seats are being reported. If the results come in similarly, then there will be bargaining between BJP and JDU over the Chief Minister’s chair, and the government will be in Nitish’s fiste.